Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003851 0.004214 0.004602 0.005050 0.005554 0.006106 0.006756
2025-11-23 0.003176 0.003671 0.004239 0.004943 0.005800 0.006817 0.008127
2025-11-30 0.002853 0.003421 0.004103 0.004994 0.006140 0.007586 0.009578
2025-12-07 0.002668 0.003296 0.004080 0.005148 0.006589 0.008504 0.011308
2025-12-14 0.002437 0.003080 0.003909 0.005077 0.006714 0.008987 0.012485
2025-12-21 0.002234 0.002879 0.003732 0.004969 0.006762 0.009347 0.013512
2025-12-28 0.002082 0.002732 0.003610 0.004918 0.006875 0.009801 0.014723
2026-01-04 0.001979 0.002641 0.003556 0.004954 0.007111 0.010453 0.016330
2026-01-11 0.001858 0.002515 0.003441 0.004887 0.007177 0.010840 0.017538
2026-01-18 0.001758 0.002412 0.003349 0.004844 0.007273 0.011277 0.018886
2026-01-25 0.001663 0.002310 0.003251 0.004781 0.007327 0.011644 0.020153
2026-02-01 0.001600 0.002249 0.003210 0.004804 0.007522 0.012271 0.022005
2026-02-08 0.001518 0.002159 0.003125 0.004756 0.007605 0.012732 0.023660
2026-02-15 0.001430 0.002056 0.003012 0.004656 0.007591 0.013019 0.025025
2026-02-22 0.001383 0.002012 0.002989 0.004704 0.007843 0.013842 0.027704
2026-03-01 0.001358 0.002003 0.003021 0.004846 0.008284 0.015092 0.031627
2026-03-08 0.001295 0.001927 0.002938 0.004780 0.008320 0.015517 0.033657
2026-03-15 0.001230 0.001845 0.002841 0.004680 0.008279 0.015772 0.035309
2026-03-22 0.001180 0.001785 0.002776 0.004633 0.008339 0.016252 0.037660
2026-03-29 0.001147 0.001751 0.002755 0.004666 0.008563 0.017130 0.041313
2026-04-05 0.001100 0.001693 0.002686 0.004604 0.008583 0.017536 0.043711
2026-04-12 0.001060 0.001643 0.002631 0.004564 0.008645 0.018053 0.046574
2026-04-19 0.001020 0.001592 0.002570 0.004506 0.008663 0.018462 0.049206